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Automotive Industry Strategic Analysis - 2030 Forecasts

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Access the interactive dashboards covering executive strategy, ML forecasting models, geographic analysis, and the 2030 electric vehicle transition.


Project Overview

This project presents a comprehensive analysis of the global automotive industry, delivered as an interactive Streamlit application with 14 specialized analysis pages, forecasts through 2030, and strategic recommendations based on machine learning models.


Analysis Pages

All pages are accessible from the sidebar of the Streamlit application.

1. Home

  • Description: Project introduction and overview
  • Content: Key metrics, production trends, yearly overview

2. Executive Dashboard

  • Description: Strategic overview for senior management
  • Content: Key performance indicators, 2030 scenario comparison
  • Audience: Executive leadership, board of directors

3. Machine Learning Models

  • Description: Comparative analysis of machine learning models
  • Content: Model performance (R² scores), feature importance
  • Models: XGBoost, Prophet, Linear Regression, ARIMA

4. Geographic Analysis

  • Description: Regional analysis
  • Content: Production trends and price comparison by region
  • Regions covered: North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, China

5. Electric Transition

  • Description: Analysis of the transition to electric vehicles
  • Content: EV share evolution, EV production by manufacturer

6. Manufacturers

  • Description: Comparative analysis of major manufacturers
  • Content: Production trends and average price by manufacturer
  • Manufacturers covered: Toyota, Volkswagen, Ford, Hyundai-Kia, Stellantis, GM

7. Economic Analysis

  • Description: Strategic economic analysis
  • Content: Correlation with GDP growth, oil price impact on production

8. Competitive Intelligence

  • Description: Competitive analysis and market positioning
  • Content: Market share by manufacturer, market share evolution over time

9. Risks and Opportunities

  • Description: Risk identification and analysis
  • Content: Operational and regulatory risks, technological and market opportunities

10. Post-COVID Analysis

  • Description: Pandemic impact and industry recovery
  • Content: Monthly production trend 2020–2023, pre/post-COVID comparison

11. Advanced Electric Transition

  • Description: In-depth analysis of the electric transition
  • Content: EV share projections to 2030, battery cost evolution

12. Strategic Recommendations

  • Description: Detailed strategic recommendations
  • Content: Immediate and medium-term action plan, 2030 objectives

13. Sector Analysis

  • Description: Analysis by sector and market segment
  • Content: Production by vehicle category, margin analysis by segment

14. 2030 Outlook

  • Description: Long-term vision and future scenarios
  • Content: 2030 scenario comparison (radar chart), technology trends (autonomy, electrification)

Usage

1. Install dependencies

pip install -r requirements_streamlit.txt

2. Launch the application

streamlit run streamlit_app.py

The app opens in your browser with a sidebar to navigate between all analysis pages: Home, Executive Dashboard, ML Models, Geographic Analysis, Electric Transition, Manufacturers, Economic Analysis, Competitive Intelligence, Risks and Opportunities, Post-COVID Analysis, Advanced Electric Transition, Strategic Recommendations, Sector Analysis, and 2030 Outlook.


Project Structure

Automotive-Industry-Forecasting/
├── streamlit_app.py                     # Main Streamlit application 
├── run_streamlit.py                     # Streamlit launcher script
├── requirements_streamlit.txt           # Streamlit app dependencies
├── regenerate_models.py                 # Script to retrain/regenerate ML models
│
├── code/                                # Analysis scripts
│   ├── automotive_analysis_main.py
│   ├── automotive_analysis_complete.py
│   ├── run_complete_analysis.py
│   ├── run_analysis.py
│   └── requirements.txt
│
├── dashboards/                          # Standalone HTML dashboards
│   ├── dashboard_executif_direction.html
│   ├── dashboard_modeles_ml.html
│   ├── dashboard_analyse_geographique_avancee.html
│   ├── dashboard_transition_electrique.html
│   ├── dashboard_fabricants_automobile.html
│   ├── dashboard_analyse_economique_strategique.html
│   ├── dashboard_intelligence_concurrentielle.html
│   ├── dashboard_risques_opportunites.html
│   └── dashboard_principal_automobile.html
│
├── data/                                # Data and results
│   ├── comprehensive_automotive_data.csv
│   └── automotive_analysis_results_clean.json
│
├── models/                              # Saved ML models
│   ├── xgboost_production_clean.pkl
│   ├── xgboost_price_clean.pkl
│   ├── linear_regression_production_clean.pkl
│   ├── linear_regression_price_clean.pkl
│   ├── prophet_production_clean.pkl
│   └── arima_production_clean.pkl
│
└── README.md

Features

Specialized analyses

  • Economic analysis: policy impact, costs, profitability
  • Electric transition: EV adoption, infrastructure, government policies
  • Risks and opportunities: risk matrix and mitigation measures
  • Competitive intelligence: benchmarking and positioning

Modeling

  • Six machine learning models trained and validated
  • Forecasts through 2030
  • Multiple scenario analysis

Visualizations

  • Interactive Streamlit application with 14 analysis pages and sidebar navigation
  • Dynamic charts built with Plotly
  • Standalone HTML dashboards also available in the dashboards/ folder
  • Interface adapted to different screen sizes

Key Results

  • Best-case scenario: accelerated electric vehicle transition (+10.4%)
  • Most influential factor: raw material prices (28% importance)
  • Recommended approach: gradual rather than abrupt transition
  • Electric vehicle opportunity: estimated growth of 300% by 2030

Strategic recommendations

  1. Accelerate the electric transition gradually
  2. Geographically diversify supply chains
  3. Develop technology partnerships
  4. Optimize production costs
  5. Improve operational efficiency

Documentation

  • README.md: project guide
  • Commented and documented source code

Project Information

Item Detail
Analysis period 2010-2023 (14 years)
Forecast horizon 2024-2030 (7 years)
Data volume 12,096 observations
Manufacturers covered Toyota, Volkswagen, Ford, Hyundai-Kia, Stellantis, GM
Regions covered North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, China
Analysis pages 14 pages (Streamlit app)
Machine learning models 6 models

About

End-to-end data science project forecasting the global automotive industry through 2030 — interactive Streamlit app with 14 analysis pages, 6 ML models (XGBoost, Prophet, ARIMA, Linear Regression), and scenario analysis on the EV transition.

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