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845 lines (713 loc) · 26.9 KB
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"""Portfolio Attribution Module.
Provides functionality for:
a) Fetching performance data from a GraphQL API
b) Computing daily and cumulative group level return attributions
with simple, logreturn, or Carino/Menchero linking methods
c) Rendering an interactive area chart of attributions and total
portfolio returns using OpenSeries and Plotly
This module defines Pydantic models for validation, helper functions
to query and validate data, and the `compute_grouped_attribution_with_cumulative`
and `attribution_area` routines for analysis and visualization.
"""
import datetime as dt
import math
from inspect import stack
from pathlib import Path
from typing import Any, Literal
from warnings import warn
from openseries import (
OpenFrame,
OpenTimeSeries,
export_plotly_figure,
load_plotly_dict,
)
from pandas import DataFrame, concat
from plotly.graph_objs import Figure
from graphql_client import GraphqlClient, GraphqlError
# Waterfall plot color configuration
WATERFALL_COLORS = {
"decreasing": "#611A51", # Dark purple for decreasing bars
"increasing": "#66725B", # Olive green for increasing bars
"totals": "#5D6C85", # Blue-gray for total bars
}
# Color marker configurations for Plotly waterfall plots
WATERFALL_MARKERS = {
"decreasing": {"marker": {"color": WATERFALL_COLORS["decreasing"]}},
"increasing": {"marker": {"color": WATERFALL_COLORS["increasing"]}},
"totals": {"marker": {"color": WATERFALL_COLORS["totals"]}},
}
class PortfolioValueZeroError(Exception):
"""Raised if the portfolio value is zero."""
class UnknownCompoundMethodError(Exception):
"""Raised if the compound method is unknown."""
class CannotCompoundReturnError(Exception):
"""Raised if the return cannot be compounded."""
class FxLegError(Exception):
"""Raised if the leg foreign currency parsing of an FxSwap is inconsistent."""
def __init__(self, swap_id: str) -> None:
"""Initialize with swap ID.
Args:
swap_id: The ID of the FX swap missing a foreign currency leg.
"""
super().__init__(f"FxSwap {swap_id} has no foreign currency leg")
class UnknownGroupValueError(Exception):
"""Raised if a group value is not a valid GraphQL enum member."""
class MissingGroupValueWarning(UserWarning):
"""Warned if a group value has no matching instruments in the performance data."""
class ZeroGroupContributionWarning(UserWarning):
"""Warned if a group value is present but contributes no performance."""
GROUP_BY_TO_GRAPHQL_ENUM = {
"modelType": "InstrumentModelTypeEnum",
"currency": "CurrencyEnum",
}
def _apply_logo(
figure: Figure,
logo: dict[str, str | float],
) -> str | None:
"""Apply optional logo to a Plotly Figure.
Args:
figure: Plotly figure to update.
logo: Plotly layout image dict.
Returns:
Logo source URL if logo should be displayed, None otherwise.
"""
source = logo.get("source", "")
logo_url = str(source) if source else None
figure.add_layout_image(
{
"source": "",
"x": 0,
"y": 1,
"xanchor": "left",
"yanchor": "top",
"xref": "paper",
"yref": "paper",
"sizex": 0,
"sizey": 0,
"opacity": 0,
}
)
figure.update_layout(
{
"margin": {"t": 20, "b": 60, "l": 60, "r": 60, "pad": 4},
"autosize": True,
},
)
return logo_url
def plot_html(
figure: Figure,
plotfile: Path,
title: str | None = None,
output_type: str = "file",
include_plotlyjs: str = "cdn",
*,
auto_open: bool = False,
add_logo: bool = True,
) -> str:
"""Export a Plotly figure to HTML format.
Args:
figure: The Plotly Figure object to export.
plotfile: Path where the HTML file will be saved.
title: Optional title for the HTML page.
output_type: Plotly output type, typically "file" or "div".
include_plotlyjs: How to include Plotly.js ("cdn", "inline", etc.).
auto_open: If True, automatically open the HTML file in a browser.
add_logo: If True, add the default logo to the figure.
Returns:
The HTML content or file path as a string.
"""
figdict, logo = load_plotly_dict()
logo_url = _apply_logo(figure=figure, logo=logo) if add_logo else None
return export_plotly_figure(
figure=figure,
fig_config=figdict["config"],
output_type=output_type,
filename=plotfile.name,
include_plotlyjs=include_plotlyjs,
auto_open=auto_open,
plotfile=plotfile,
title=title,
logo_url=logo_url,
)
def get_party_name(graphql: GraphqlClient, party_id: str) -> str:
"""Retrieve the long name of a party from the GraphQL API.
Args:
graphql: A configured GraphqlClient instance.
party_id: The GraphQL ID of the party to query.
Returns:
The 'longName' field of the party.
Raises:
GraphqlError: If the GraphQL API returns an error.
"""
query = "query party($_id: GraphQLObjectId) { party(_id: $_id) { longName } }"
variables = {"_id": party_id}
data, error = graphql.query(query_string=query, variables=variables)
if error:
msg = str(error)
raise GraphqlError(msg)
return data["party"]["longName"]
def get_timeserie(
graphql: GraphqlClient, timeseries_id: str, name: str
) -> OpenTimeSeries:
"""Retrieve a timeserie from the GraphQL API.
Args:
graphql: A configured GraphqlClient instance.
timeseries_id: The GraphQL ID of the timeserie to query.
name: The name to display for the timeserie output
Returns:
An OpenTimeSeries object with the timeserie data
Raises:
GraphqlError: If the GraphQL API returns an error.
"""
query = """ query ($_id: GraphQLObjectId, $includeItems: Boolean = true) {
timeserie(_id: $_id, includeItems: $includeItems) {
type
instrument{ currency }
dates
values
}
} """
variables = {"_id": timeseries_id}
data, error = graphql.query(query_string=query, variables=variables)
if error:
msg = str(error)
raise GraphqlError(msg)
return OpenTimeSeries.from_arrays(
name=name,
dates=data["timeserie"]["dates"],
values=data["timeserie"]["values"],
valuetype=data["timeserie"]["type"],
baseccy=data["timeserie"]["instrument"]["currency"],
)
def get_performance(
graphql: GraphqlClient,
client_id: str,
start_dt: dt.date | None = None,
end_dt: dt.date | None = None,
*,
look_through: bool = False,
) -> dict:
"""Fetch performance data for a client via GraphQL and validate it.
Args:
graphql: A configured GraphqlClient instance.
client_id: The GraphQL ID of the client/fund.
start_dt: Optional start date for the performance filter.
end_dt: Optional end date for the performance filter.
look_through: Whether to include underlying holdings in performance.
Returns:
A dict representing the 'performance' field from the API response.
Raises:
GraphqlError: If the GraphQL API returns an error or the response
fails Pydantic validation.
"""
query = """ query performance(
$clientId: GraphQLObjectId!,
$startDate: GraphQLDateString,
$endDate: GraphQLDateString,
$lookThrough: Boolean = false
) {
performance(
clientId: $clientId,
lookThrough: $lookThrough
filter: {
startDate: $startDate
endDate: $endDate
}
) {
currency
dates
series
instrumentPerformances {
instrument {
_id
modelType
currency
model {
legs {
currency
}
}
}
values
cashFlows
}
}
} """
variables = {
"clientId": client_id,
"startDate": start_dt.strftime("%Y-%m-%d") if start_dt else None,
"endDate": end_dt.strftime("%Y-%m-%d") if end_dt else None,
"lookThrough": look_through,
}
data, error = graphql.query(query_string=query, variables=variables)
if error:
msg = str(error)
raise GraphqlError(msg)
return data["performance"]
def get_graphql_enum_values(
graphql: GraphqlClient,
type_name: str,
*,
include_deprecated: bool = False,
) -> list[str]:
"""Return GraphQL enum value names via schema introspection.
Args:
graphql: A configured GraphqlClient instance.
type_name: GraphQL enum type name, e.g. InstrumentModelTypeEnum.
include_deprecated: If True, include deprecated enum values.
Returns:
Sorted list of enum value names.
Raises:
GraphqlError: If the GraphQL API returns an error or the type is
missing or is not an enum.
"""
query = """
query enumValues($name: String!, $includeDeprecated: Boolean = false) {
__type(name: $name) {
enumValues(includeDeprecated: $includeDeprecated) {
name
}
}
}
"""
variables = {"name": type_name, "includeDeprecated": include_deprecated}
data, error = graphql.query(query_string=query, variables=variables)
if error:
msg = str(error)
raise GraphqlError(msg)
type_info = data.get("__type") if isinstance(data, dict) else None
if not type_info or type_info.get("enumValues") is None:
msg = f"GraphQL type {type_name!r} was not found or is not an enum"
raise GraphqlError(msg)
return sorted(item["name"] for item in type_info["enumValues"])
def _validate_group_values(
group_by: str,
group_values: list[str],
present_values: set[str],
graphql: GraphqlClient | None,
) -> None:
"""Validate requested group values against schema enums and payload data.
Args:
group_by: Field to group by (e.g., "modelType", "currency").
group_values: List of values requested by the caller.
present_values: Distinct values present in the performance payload.
graphql: Optional client used to introspect valid enum members.
Raises:
UnknownGroupValueError: If a requested value is not a valid enum member.
GraphqlError: If schema introspection fails.
"""
schema_values: set[str] | None = None
enum_name = GROUP_BY_TO_GRAPHQL_ENUM.get(group_by)
if graphql is not None and enum_name is not None:
schema_values = set(
get_graphql_enum_values(graphql=graphql, type_name=enum_name)
)
unknown = [
value
for value in group_values
if schema_values is not None and value not in schema_values
]
if unknown:
unknown_str = ", ".join(repr(value) for value in unknown)
valid_str = ", ".join(sorted(schema_values or ()))
present_str = ", ".join(sorted(present_values))
msg = (
f"Unknown {group_by} value(s): {unknown_str}. "
f"Valid choices: {valid_str}. "
f"Values present in this fund: {present_str}."
)
raise UnknownGroupValueError(msg)
present_str = ", ".join(sorted(present_values))
for value in group_values:
if value in present_values:
continue
if schema_values is not None:
msg = (
f"{group_by} value {value!r} is valid but this fund has no "
f"instruments of that type in the performance window. "
f"Values present: {present_str}."
)
else:
msg = (
f"{group_by} value {value!r} does not appear in this fund's "
f"performance data. Values present: {present_str}."
)
warn(msg, MissingGroupValueWarning, stacklevel=3)
def _warn_zero_contribution_groups(
group_by: str,
group_values: list[str],
present_values: set[str],
daily_contribs: dict[str, list[float]],
) -> None:
"""Warn when a present group value contributed no performance.
Args:
group_by: Field to group by (e.g., "modelType", "currency").
group_values: List of values requested by the caller.
present_values: Distinct values present in the performance payload.
daily_contribs: Daily contribution series by group name.
"""
for value in group_values:
if value not in present_values:
continue
contribs = daily_contribs[value][1:]
if contribs and all(item == 0.0 for item in contribs):
msg = (
f"{group_by} value {value!r} is present in this fund but "
f"contributed no performance in the window."
)
warn(msg, ZeroGroupContributionWarning, stacklevel=3)
def _accumulate_daily_contribs(
performances: list[dict[str, Any]],
group_by: str,
group_values: list[str],
groups: list[str],
n_days: int,
fees_and_costs_label: str,
*,
consider_fxswap: bool,
) -> dict[str, list[float]]:
"""Accumulate daily group contributions from instrument performances.
Args:
performances: Instrument performance rows from the payload.
group_by: Field to group by (e.g., "modelType", "currency").
group_values: List of values requested by the caller.
groups: Group names including the fees and costs label.
n_days: Number of dates in the performance window.
fees_and_costs_label: Label for unmatched instruments.
consider_fxswap: If True, handle FxSwap instruments specially.
Returns:
Daily contribution series by group name.
Raises:
PortfolioValueZeroError: If total portfolio value is zero.
FxLegError: If FxSwap has no foreign currency leg.
"""
daily_contribs: dict[str, list[float]] = {grp: [0.0] * n_days for grp in groups}
for t in range(1, n_days):
total_prev_value = sum(perf["values"][t - 1] for perf in performances)
if total_prev_value == 0.0:
msg = f"Total portfolio value is zero on day index {t - 1}"
raise PortfolioValueZeroError(msg)
for perf in performances:
prev_value = perf["values"][t - 1]
curr_value = perf["values"][t]
flow = perf["cashFlows"][t]
category = perf["instrument"][group_by]
if (
consider_fxswap
and perf["instrument"]["modelType"] == "FxSwap"
and group_by == "currency"
):
legs = perf["instrument"]["model"].get("legs", [])
has_foreign_leg = any(
leg["currency"] != perf["instrument"]["currency"] for leg in legs
)
if not has_foreign_leg:
raise FxLegError(perf["instrument"]["_id"])
grp = category if category in group_values else fees_and_costs_label
delta = curr_value - prev_value - flow
daily_contribs[grp][t] += delta / total_prev_value
return daily_contribs
def compute_grouped_attribution_with_cumulative(
data: dict[str, Any],
group_by: str,
group_values: list[str],
method: str = "simple",
fees_and_costs_label: str = "Other",
*,
consider_fxswap: bool = False,
graphql: GraphqlClient | None = None,
) -> tuple[
dict[str, list[dict[str, Any]]],
dict[str, list[dict[str, Any]]],
list[dict[str, Any]],
str | None,
]:
"""Compute attribution with cumulative values for specified groups.
Args:
data: Dictionary containing dates, series, and instrumentPerformances.
group_by: Field to group by (e.g., "modelType", "currency").
group_values: List of values to group by.
method: Attribution method ("simple", "logreturn", "carino_menchero").
fees_and_costs_label: Label for fees and costs group.
consider_fxswap: If True, handle FxSwap instruments specially.
graphql: Optional client used to distinguish unknown enum values from
valid types that this fund does not hold.
Returns:
Tuple of (daily, cumulative, total, currency) where:
- daily: Dictionary mapping group names to daily attribution values
- cumulative: Dictionary mapping group names to cumulative attribution values
- total: List of total portfolio returns
- currency: Base currency from the performance data
Raises:
UnknownCompoundMethodError: If method is not recognized.
CannotCompoundReturnError: If return <= -1 for logreturn method.
PortfolioValueZeroError: If total portfolio value is zero.
FxLegError: If FxSwap has no foreign currency leg.
UnknownGroupValueError: If a group value is not a valid schema enum member.
GraphqlError: If schema introspection fails.
"""
performances = data.get("instrumentPerformances")
currency = data.get("currency")
dates = data.get("dates")
series = data.get("series")
n_days = len(dates)
total_series = [{"date": dates[t], "value": series[t]} for t in range(n_days)]
present_values = {
category
for perf in performances
if (category := perf["instrument"].get(group_by)) is not None
}
_validate_group_values(
group_by=group_by,
group_values=group_values,
present_values=present_values,
graphql=graphql,
)
groups = [*group_values, fees_and_costs_label]
daily_contribs = _accumulate_daily_contribs(
performances=performances,
group_by=group_by,
group_values=group_values,
groups=groups,
n_days=n_days,
fees_and_costs_label=fees_and_costs_label,
consider_fxswap=consider_fxswap,
)
_warn_zero_contribution_groups(
group_by=group_by,
group_values=group_values,
present_values=present_values,
daily_contribs=daily_contribs,
)
cumulative_contribs: dict[str, list[float]] = {
grp: [0.0] * n_days for grp in groups
}
if method == "simple":
for grp in groups:
for t in range(1, n_days):
cumulative_contribs[grp][t] = (
cumulative_contribs[grp][t - 1] + daily_contribs[grp][t]
)
elif method == "logreturn":
for grp in groups:
running_log = 0.0
for t in range(1, n_days):
ret = daily_contribs[grp][t]
if ret <= -1.0:
msg = f"Return {ret} at day index {t} cannot be compounded"
raise CannotCompoundReturnError(msg)
running_log += math.log1p(ret)
cumulative_contribs[grp][t] = math.expm1(running_log)
elif method == "carino_menchero":
portfolio_daily_returns = [0.0] * n_days
for t in range(1, n_days):
portfolio_daily_returns[t] = sum(daily_contribs[grp][t] for grp in groups)
for t in range(1, n_days):
cum_return_factor = math.prod(
1.0 + portfolio_daily_returns[i] for i in range(1, t + 1)
)
total_cum_return = cum_return_factor - 1.0
total_link_factor = (
math.log1p(total_cum_return) / total_cum_return
if total_cum_return != 0.0
else 1.0
)
for grp in groups:
linked_sum = 0.0
for tau in range(1, t + 1):
port_ret = portfolio_daily_returns[tau]
period_link = (
math.log1p(port_ret) / port_ret if port_ret != 0.0 else 1.0
)
contrib = daily_contribs[grp][tau]
linked_sum += contrib * (period_link / total_link_factor)
cumulative_contribs[grp][t] = linked_sum
else:
msg = f"Unknown method '{method}'"
raise UnknownCompoundMethodError(msg)
daily_series: dict[str, list[dict[str, str | float]]] = {}
cumulative_series: dict[str, list[dict[str, str | float]]] = {}
for grp in groups:
daily_series[grp] = [
{"date": dates[t], "value": daily_contribs[grp][t]} for t in range(n_days)
]
cumulative_series[grp] = [
{"date": dates[t], "value": cumulative_contribs[grp][t]}
for t in range(n_days)
]
return daily_series, cumulative_series, total_series, currency
def attribution_area(
data: OpenFrame,
series: OpenTimeSeries,
filename: str,
title: str | None = None,
tick_fmt: str = ".2%",
directory: str | Path | None = None,
output_type: Literal["file", "div"] = "file",
*,
values_in_legend: bool = True,
add_logo: bool = True,
auto_open: bool = True,
) -> tuple[Figure, str]:
"""Create and save an area chart of attribution series with Plotly.
Args:
data: OpenFrame containing group time series data.
series: OpenTimeSeries of total portfolio series.
filename: Base filename (without extension) for the saved plot.
title: Optional chart title.
tick_fmt: Format string for axis ticks and legend values.
directory: Directory to write the HTML file. Defaults to ~/Documents.
output_type: Plotly argument to set output as 'div' image or html 'file'
values_in_legend: If True, append returns to legend labels.
add_logo: If True, include the default logo in the chart.
auto_open: If True, open the HTML file after saving.
Returns:
A tuple (figure, filepath | None) where figure is the Plotly Figure object
and filepath is the Path to the saved HTML file or None if output_type='div'.
"""
if directory:
dirpath = Path(directory).resolve()
elif Path.home().joinpath("Documents").exists():
dirpath = Path.home().joinpath("Documents")
else:
dirpath = Path(stack()[1].filename).parent
areaframe = data.from_deepcopy()
areaseries = series.from_deepcopy()
areaseries.to_cumret()
if values_in_legend:
total = []
for serie, ret in zip(
areaframe.constituents, areaframe.value_ret, strict=False
):
total.append(ret)
serie.set_new_label(f"{serie.label}: {ret:{tick_fmt}}")
areaframe.tsdf = concat([x.tsdf for x in areaframe.constituents], axis="columns")
areaframe.merge_series(how="inner").value_nan_handle(method="drop")
figure, plotfile = areaframe.plot_series(
auto_open=False,
tick_fmt=tick_fmt,
directory=dirpath,
filename=f"{filename}.html",
output_type=output_type,
add_logo=False,
)
figure.update_traces(
fill="tonexty",
mode="none",
stackgroup="one",
hovertemplate=(
f"<extra></extra>Value: %{{y:{tick_fmt}}}<br>Date: %{{x|{'%Y-%m-%d'}}}"
),
hoverlabel={
"bgcolor": "white",
"bordercolor": "white",
"font": {"color": "#01579B"},
},
)
if values_in_legend:
series_name = str(areaseries.label)
areaseries.set_new_label(f"{series_name}: {areaseries.value_ret:{tick_fmt}}")
areaseries.tsdf = areaseries.tsdf.sub(1.0)
figure.add_scatter(
x=areaseries.tsdf.index,
y=areaseries.tsdf.iloc[:, 0],
hovertemplate=(
f"<extra></extra>Value: %{{y:{tick_fmt}}}<br>Date: %{{x|{'%Y-%m-%d'}}}"
),
marker={"size": 10},
mode="markers",
name=areaseries.label,
)
figure.update_layout(
font={"size": 16},
legend={
"xref": "paper",
"yref": "paper",
"x": 0.5,
"y": -0.2,
"xanchor": "center",
"orientation": "h",
},
margin={"b": 100},
)
rtn_file = plot_html(
figure=figure,
plotfile=Path(plotfile),
title=title,
output_type=output_type,
include_plotlyjs="cdn",
auto_open=auto_open,
add_logo=add_logo,
)
return figure, rtn_file
def attribution_waterfall(
data: OpenFrame,
filename: str,
title: str | None = None,
directory: str | Path | None = None,
output_type: Literal["file", "div"] = "file",
*,
auto_open: bool = True,
) -> tuple[Figure, str]:
"""Create and save a waterfall chart of attribution series with Plotly.
Args:
data: OpenFrame containing group time series data.
filename: Base filename (without extension) for the saved plot.
title: Optional chart title.
directory: Directory to write the HTML file. Defaults to ~/Documents.
output_type: Plotly argument to set output as 'div' image or html 'file'
auto_open: If True, open the HTML file after saving.
Returns:
A tuple (figure, filepath | None) where figure is the Plotly Figure object
and filepath is the Path to the saved HTML file or None if output_type='div'.
"""
if directory:
dirpath = Path(directory).resolve()
elif Path.home().joinpath("Documents").exists():
dirpath = Path.home().joinpath("Documents")
else:
dirpath = Path(stack()[1].filename).parent
plotfile = dirpath / f"{filename}.html"
retdata = data.value_ret.copy()
ret_names = retdata.index.get_level_values(0).tolist()
retdata = list(retdata.values)
retdata.append(sum(retdata))
ret_df = DataFrame(
data=retdata,
index=[*ret_names, "TOTAL"],
columns=["Accumulated Returns"],
)
retformats = ["{:+.2%}"] * (ret_df.shape[0] - 1) + ["{:.2%}"]
rettext = [
fmt.format(t) for fmt, t in zip(retformats, ret_df.iloc[:, 0], strict=False)
]
figdict, _ = load_plotly_dict()
figure = Figure(figdict)
figure.add_waterfall(
orientation="v",
measure=["relative"] * (ret_df.shape[0] - 1) + ["total"],
decreasing=WATERFALL_MARKERS["decreasing"],
increasing=WATERFALL_MARKERS["increasing"],
totals=WATERFALL_MARKERS["totals"],
x=ret_df.index.tolist(),
y=ret_df.iloc[:, 0].values,
textposition="auto",
text=rettext,
connector={"visible": False},
)
figure.update_layout(
waterfallgap=0.4,
showlegend=False,
margin={"t": 70},
)
figure.update_xaxes(gridcolor="#EEEEEE", automargin=True)
figure.update_yaxes(tickformat=".2%", gridcolor="#EEEEEE", automargin=True)
plotfile = plot_html(
figure=figure,
plotfile=plotfile,
title=title,
output_type=output_type,
auto_open=auto_open,
add_logo=True,
)
return figure, plotfile